Markets Don’t Wait for Official Announcements

John Noonan Uncategorized

Google “Are we in a recession?”. If you wanted a concrete answer, you didn’t get one – only ‘yes’, ‘no’, and everything in between. You’ll have to wait until the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) says there is one. Then it’s official. And then the market falls. Right? The market is forward looking. And recessions are old news. The NBER tends to be late to the game. The global financial crisis is a great example. Take a look… The recession is in gray. By the time it was announced, stocks had dropped over 40%. Most of the damage had …