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2022: Year in ReviewJanuary 19, 20232022 brought us two things: a bad market and some rule changes. First, the market. We’ll let you fill in your own description: “That was a really ________ market.” We wonder how many of you wouldn’t share with an eight-year-old what just came to mind. We don’t blame you! We peaked at the beginning of the year and never looked back as we slid slowly, painfully for nine months into bear market territory, with US stocks shedding 19.6% by December 31st. Remember the “Covid drop”? 35% in 33 days. Yet, last year felt worse as the slide just dragged on ... Read More
Markets Don’t Wait for Official AnnouncementsDecember 14, 2022Google “Are we in a recession?”. If you wanted a concrete answer, you didn’t get one – only ‘yes’, ‘no’, and everything in between. You’ll have to wait until the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) says there is one. Then it’s official. And then the market falls. Right? The market is forward looking. And recessions are old news. The NBER tends to be late to the game. The global financial crisis is a great example. Take a look… The recession is in gray. By the time it was announced, stocks had dropped over 40%. Most of the damage had ... Read More
Tomorrow’s News Today…Would It Help?November 29, 2022Occasionally, someone tells a story better than we ever could (not hard to do, but hey). It’s usually Jason Zweig of the Wall Street Journal. And he’s done it again. Here’s an excerpt from his October 28th article. We promise it’s worth your time. What to Do When You Know What Stocks Will Do Next Sometimes, investors think they know exactly what’s coming around the corner. That sort of certainty is often dangerous. Imagine you could know tomorrow’s news today. Would that make you a better investor? On Oct. 13, the Labor Department announced the consumer-price index rose 8.2% ... Read More
Why Your Neighbor Is SellingSeptember 29, 2022The market is down big this year. It’s no fun. When we’re in the middle of it, it feels like there’s no end. And then…we do something! Anything!! Selling something is usually involved. And we just can’t help ourselves, no matter what logic or the evidence may tell us. Because we’re programmed to do it. Thanks to evolution, we are bad investors – whether the market is down or up. Maybe even more so when it’s up! (Bitcoin at $68,000 anyone?) Sure, our instincts to avoid danger, to find safety in numbers, have served us well as a species in ... Read More
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