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We’ve all done it – being so sure of something, then coming to realize we were wrong. Usually it doesn’t matter. “The Celtics are absolutely winning it all this year” (John, last year). Or, “Wine country? My wife would much rather go to Vegas” (same). When you’re wrong there, no biggie. Maybe you get the cold shoulder. But in finance, it’s a different story. Check out these headlines from the beginning of the year: Why everyone thinks a recession is coming in 2023 (cnbc.com) A recession might be coming. Here’s what it could look like : NPR A recession in …